The research’s main findings:
The Republikon Institute’s research in September shows that the first round of the primary election was a success, the opposition was able to increase its advantage.
Fidesz support stagnated among the total population in September, it is still standing at 34 percent. This month the DK, Momentum, MSZP and the MKKP gained strength among the total population. DK from 13 to 14 percent, Momentum from 6 to 7 percent, MSZP from 5 percent to 6 percent, and MKKP from 1 to 2 percent. Jobbik’s support fell two percentage points, from 12 percent to 10 percent. Párbeszéd remains at 1 percent of the total population, as does Mi Hazánk. LMP still has 2 percent support.
Fidesz weakened among party voters, with support falling from 45 percent to 44 percent. In the case of the opposition parties, we can observe a similar strengthening as in the case of the entire population: The support of the DK, Momentum, MSZP and MKKP increased by 1-1 percentage point here as well. DK stands at 18 percent, Momentum at 9 percent, MSZP at 8 percent and MKKP at 2 percent. Jobbik's support among party voters also fell 2 percentage points, from 15 to 13 percent. In addition to Jobbik, support for LMP also fell, from 3 percent to 2 percent. Párbeszéd remains unchanged at 2 percent and Mi Hazánk remains at 1 percent among party voters.
The proportion of undecided people continued to decline, from 24 percent to just 22 percent in September.
The first round of the primary elections successfully mobilized the opposition bloc, with several opposition parties gaining strength. The difference between the support of Fidesz and the opposition coalition continued to grow: the six-party coalition was 6 percentage points stronger among the total population and 8 percentage points stronger among party voters than the Fidesz (34%-40% and 44%-52%, respectively).
Jobbik's support shows Péter Jakab's poor primary election performance, after the whole year's triumphal procession the party not only stagnated, but also weakened by 2 percentage points among both the entire population and party voters.
Momentum, despite the fact that the party's support decreased a lot in the last six months and András Fekete-Győr did not perform well in the first round of the primary election, strengthened by 1-1 percentage points both in the total population and among party voters. This also includes the fact that although the party's prime ministerial candidate did not rank well in the primary election, the party's candidates performed well in individual districts.
DK's support is in line with the primary election results and the upward trend of recent months - currently DK is the strongest party in the opposition, it has 5 percentage points higher support among party voters than second-place Jobbik.
See full results here!
Methodology: The research was conducted by telephone interviewing 1,000 people October 1-4. between. The research is representative of the adult population of the country by gender, age, education and type of settlement.
Co-founded by the Europe for Citizens Programme
of the Europen Union