Analyses and research
Analyses and research
- Political Landscape in Black and White
- The emergence of the Tisza Party has made the question of opposition change one of the most decisive issues in current Hungarian domestic politics. Of course, there is nothing new under the sun, in a sense that we were already talking about opposition change in 2021 in the context of primary elections, the outcome of which saw half of the opposi...
More - Campaign for Germany
- On February 23, this Sunday, the polls open in Germany for early elections following the break-up of the SPD-FDP-Green coalition, dubbed as the “traffic light” coalition after the parties’ colors, at the end of last year. As at the time of writing this analysis the polls have not yet taken place, we do not know the results, however, the election...
More - Evolution of voter values in Hungary
- The year 2024 reminded us how quickly the balance of power between parties can shift, even suddenly and unpredictably. The party preferences of Hungarian voters changed radically in 2024, with support for the governing parties falling sharply and the Tisza Party upending the opposition voter base. In contrast to party preferences, voters' values...
More - Campaign analysis: Tolna 2
- Summary of the analysis
The first by-election since the appearance of Péter Magyar and the Tisza Party was held in the Tolna 2 individual constituency for a seat in parliament. Although the polls show that their support is similar to that of Fidesz, or even slightly higher, the party did not put forward a candidate.
The stakes of the election ar...
More - End-of-year public opinion polls
- "2023 has not brought any earth-shattering changes in terms of party support." – This is how Republikon Institute’s December 2023 end-of-year review starts. Who would have thought then that within three months, the governing parties would lose their president and justice minister, opposition protests would be staged, some of them reaching hundre...
More - Public opinion polls - February 2025
- February was a busy month in Hungarian politics. Annual state-of-the-nation addresses were given by Péter Magyar, Ferenc Gyurcsány and Viktor Orbán, among others. The prime minister announced a wave of promises that will necessitate a sum of up to thousands of billions of euros from the Hungarian budget. The parliamentary session has begun and s...
More - The wage of fear: Hungarians' future outlook and fears
- Fear-mongering is a potent political tool, perfectly suited to winning elections, but also to damaging the national psyche. The communication strategies and methodologies of the Hungarian governing parties have been studied by a range of political scientists; these can be considered the height of both fear-mongering and enemy creation. One of th...
More - Both Tisza and Fidesz got stronger, 5 parties would get into Parliament
- January used to be a favourite month for politicians and political pundits because, after a long year, "nothing ever happened" in politics this month. Politicians used to take their holidays before the parliamentary season and the Prime Minister's holiday in India would certainly not have been a curiosity, at most it would have compromised the i...
More - Tisza is in the lead, Mi Hazánk, DK and MKKP above parliamentary threshold
- This autumn, public opinion polls have drawn great attention. The primary reason for this is that for the first time in many years, a single party has managed to surpass the governing parties in popularity. Across the entire research market, it can be stated that the Tisza Party's disadvantage is at least diminishing, and in many cases, its popu...
More - Fidesz and the Tisza go head to head
- The past summer was politically more eventful than usual. Hungary’s first double election shook the political status quo, while the Tisza Party was preoccupied with building a background organization that matched its political weight. Meanwhile, Hungary’s rotating EU presidency began, coinciding with a series of foreign and economic policy kamik...
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