Strengthening Mayors, Weakening Opposition

Evaluation of the Budapest Elections

 
 
Jun
28.

Strengthening Mayors, Weakening Opposition

Republikon Intézet
 

"Even the previously successful Fidesz mayors have not been able to regain their positions in Budapest, and the opposition has even increased its lead. The Tisza Party came up from nowhere in the assembly to join Fidesz, and their role in the balance makes it difficult for the re-elected Gergely Karácsony. Péter Magyar's party could pose a real challenge to all in the next elections in 2029. The Budapest City Assembly will be completely transformed, the parties behind the city government will not be able to govern Budapest without compromises, and Gergely Karácsony will have to work with the Tisza Party on specific issues, as summarised by the Republikon Institute analysis of the new developments in Budapest." - HVG reported on Republikon's latest analysis.

Main findings of the analysis:

• The Budapest City Assembly will be completely transformed, the parties behind the city government will not be able to govern Budapest without compromises, Gergely Karácsony will have to cooperate with the Tisza Party on specific issues.

• Decision-making will be slowed down by the fact that the Tisza Party, which has 10 members in the Budapest City Assembly, is not willing to cooperate with any other party on a permanent basis; Tisza has gained a significant power of lobbying.

•  In the districts, the balance of power has not changed substantially; a total of four mayors have changed, but in two places this did not mean a change of sides in the party political sense.

• In almost all cases, the incumbent district mayors' relative advantage over their strongest challenger has increased, so the incumbency effect is strong, but mayors must expect the challenge of the Tisza Party in five years' time. 

Read the full analysis at the link below!