"One in three voters have no party, the months-long decline of the Fidesz camp has stopped, and Momentum's popularity is at a six-month low." - Telex reported on the latest research by the Republikon Institute.
Key findings of the research:
Party preferences changed slightly in October. Fidesz-KDNP is still at 29 percent among the total population, their support increased by 1 percentage point among party voters, the party would get 43 percent of the votes.
DK remains unchanged at 12 and 18 percent among the total population and party voters.
Mi Hazánk is still at 7 and 10 percent, remaining the second biggest party of the opposition. This position is becoming more secure as Momentum is losing support.
The support for Momentum declined by 1 percentage point both among the total population and party voters, currently 5 and 7 percent of them would vote for the party. This is their lowest result in the past 6 months, following the party’s increase in support during summer.
The support for MKKP – going neck and neck with Momentum – also declined by 1 percentage point both among the total population and party voters, thus the party would get 5 and 7 percent of the votes.
LMP was the only party to gain support within the margin of error, by 1 percentage point both among the total population and party voters. The party would get 3 and 5 percent of the votes, thus they would get into parliament.
MSZP still has 3 percent of support among the total population and 5 among party voters, thus they would still get into parliament.
The support for Jobbik remained unchanged in October, they would get 2 and 3 percent of the votes. Párbeszéd is still at 1 percent among the total population and at 2 percent among party voters. These parties would not get into parliament with their current support.
The number of the undecided further increased in October, from 32 percent to 33.
Party preferences haven’t been changing much in the past couple of months, we are experiencing the calm before the storm. The official campaign period starts at the beginning of the year, however, parties are already gearing up for the campaign launch. They are talking about candidates, coalition within the opposition – or lack thereof – all of which could impact party popularities severely. The uncertainty around the opposition coalition in Budapest is yet to be reflected in these numbers, but the strategy parties choose to follow in the capital will impact their nationwide support.
Methodology: the research was conducted via telephone interviews with 1000 people between 17-24 October. The research is representative of the adult
population of the country by gender, age, education and type of municipality. Margin of error: +/- 3.2%.
The research presentation is available HERE!
Republikon is supported by the European Union for 2018-23.