Analyses and research
Analyses and research
- Gloomy Prospects
- Summary of key results
• Hungarian voters are generally pessimistic about their financial prospects in 2023. Nearly half of respondents expect their financial situation to worsen in 2023.
• At the start of of 2021, in the midst of the COVID-19 epidemic, the share of optimists was three times higher than that of pessimists (18% compared to 6%), ...
More - State of the Hungarian Far-Right after the Election
- On April 3rd, what surprised analysts was not simply the two-thirds victory of Fidesz-KDNP, or the weak showing on United for Hungary, but the fact that the Mi Hazánk Movement got into the Parliament. Not many were expecting it. Having received 5,88% of the vote, they gained 6 seats in Parliament, thus – locked head-to-head with Párbeszéd –, the...
More - The changing face of Parliament
- Hungary’s new parliament held its inaugural session on May 2nd, 2022, after the parliamentary elections on April 3rd resulted in an overwhelming two-third victory for Fidesz-KDNP, who took 135 seats in the chamber. United for Hungary (Egységben Magyarországért) took 57, while the Mi Hazánk (Our Homeland) Movement gained 6 seats. In moments like ...
More - Votes of Jobbik in 2022
- The surprise of the 2022 parliamentary elections was the large-scale victory of Fidesz and the low mobilization of the opposition. Egységben Magyarországért (united opposition) received nearly 890 000 fewer votes, than did the party-lists of DK, Együtt, Jobbik, LMP, Momentum and MSZP-Párbeszéd all together in 2018. It was rightly assumed during ...
More - What do we know about uncertain voters before the elections?
- The 2022 parliamentary election is expected to be the tightest one of the last more than 10 years. According to opinion polls, just a few weeks prior to the elections, the support for Fidesz-KDNP and Egységben Magyarországért (united opposition) is head-to-head. Due to these results, besides voter mobilization, the role of uncertain voters in el...
More - 20 years of Fidesz core voters
- • In our analysis, we looked at core Fidesz voters - electors who still have strong ties to the party between two elections - between 2002 and 2021, based on their social background and cultural characteristics, as well as their political opinions.
• It is important to note that the core group of voters considered in the analysis does not comp...
More - Political ideologies within the opposition
- By the 2022 elections, a tentative bloc formation within the Fidesz opposition had begun, and after the election failure, the opposition cooperation fragmented again. In a previous analysis by Republikon Institute, we showed that opposition voters voted in roughly equal proportions for the opposition coalition as a whole and for the common list ...
More - Republikon’s Party Preference Research in March 2023
- Key results
• In March, Fidesz-KDNP was at in 34 percent of the total population and 47 percent among party voters. In this quarter, DK still has 14 percent support among the entire population, and 20 percent of party voters would still vote for it. Momentum was able to strengthen the most in the month, by 2-2 percentage points, to 6 and 8 perce...
More - The Assessment of the EU in an International and Time Series Comparison
- • In our analysis, we examined the opinions on the EU of the respondents of the Visegrád countries, including our country, The Czech Republic, Poland and Slovakia, the traditionally pro-EU Romania, and the Netherlands, which voted down the EU constitution in 2005 and at the same time founded the EU.
• During our analysis, were were not interes...
More - Republikon's Research on Party Affiliation in February 2023
- In February, 33 percent of the total population supports Fidesz, one percent higher than in January. Among those who can select a party, Fidesz’s support increased by two percentage points, as 47 percent would vote for the party. The slow decline since the 2022 election seems to have stopped for now, with Fidesz bouncing back in the first month ...
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